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TRAP #092 ·VOL I The Individual · Self-Deception & Motivated Reasoning

Commitment Bias

Discovered by Leon Festinger, 1957

The cost of being wrong is not losing an argument. It is losing the version of yourself who was right.
Category: BiasEvidence: ContestedUniversality: ModerateTier 2Type: Patternⓘ what these mean

This is a Lexicon entry: the mechanism, when it shows up, and the countermeasure. The full correction, with real-world cases and the audit prompt, hasn't been written yet.

Definition

The tendency to continue supporting past ideas or actions even when presented with evidence that they were wrong.

When it shows up

Public statements, signed contracts, large investments, visible stances. Any position where changing would reveal the earlier commitment as wrong.

Failure mode

Prior commitment to a position creates pressure to interpret new evidence as consistent with it. The evaluator is not weighing evidence cleanly; they are protecting a prior self. The more public or costly the commitment, the stronger the pull.

Countermeasure

Make commitments you can revise gracefully. Reserve the right to update publicly: 'Based on what I thought, here is what I said. Based on what I know now, here is what I think.' Build a record of updating.

Related traps

Also connected in the map8 more, locked

Credit & first seen

DiscoveredFestinger, L. (1957). A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance. Stanford University Press. Kiesler, C.A. (1971). The Psychology of Commitment. Academic Press source ↗

Also revealed

Want the full correction for Commitment Bias?

This entry has the mechanism and countermeasure. The full write-up - real cases, sources, the audit prompt - comes later.

Entry #92 of 631 in The Lexicon · see the full Lexicon